Impact of Lifting Mask Mandates on COVID-19 Incidence and Mortality in Portugal: An Ecological Study.

INTRODUCTION: The use of face masks in public was one of several COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions adopted to mitigate the pandemic in Portugal. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of lifting the mask mandate on the April 22, 2022 on COVID-19 incidence and mortality in mainland Portugal and in the Azores. As a secondary objective, we aimed to evaluate the evolution of COVID-19 cases in a setting without a mask mandate (Azores islands) and in a setting with a mask mandate (Madeira islands). MATERIAL AND METHODS: Surveillance data on laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases and COVID-19 deaths were used to conduct an interrupted time series analysis to estimate changes in daily incidence and deaths during a mask mandate period (28th March - 21st April 2022) and during a post-mask mandate period (22nd April - 15th May 2022), in mainland Portugal and the Azores. In a second phase, for each group of islands, we fitted a negative binomial regression model, with daily COVID-19 incident cases as the primary outcome of interest, and relative frequency of Omicron BA.5 lineage as explanatory variable. RESULTS: Significant changes in trends were observed for the overall incidence rate and COVID-19 deaths; increasing trends were observed for COVID-19 incidence and deaths in the post mandate period [5.3% per day; incidence rate ratio (IRR): 1.053; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.029 - 1.078] and [3.2% per day; mortality rate ratio (MRR): 1.032; 95% CI: 1.003 - 1.062], respectively. For every unit increase in the percentage of Omicron BA.5 lineage there was a 1.5% increase per day (IRR: 1.015; 95% CI: 1.006 - 1.024) in COVID-19 incidence rate in the Azores islands, while for Madeira islands an increase of 0.05% COVID-19 cases per day was observed (IRR: 1.005; 95% CI: 1.000 - 1.010). CONCLUSION: Lifting the mask mandate in Portugal was associated with an increase in COVID-19 incidence and deaths, thus highlighting the positive effect of face mask policies in preventing respiratory virus transmission and saving lives.

SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence Following a Large-Scale Vaccination Campaign in Portugal: Results of the National Serological Survey, September - November 2021.

INTRODUCTION: Following a COVID-19 mass vaccination campaign, it is important to evaluate the population level of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. The aim of this study was to estimate the seroprevalence rate of SARS-CoV-2 specific antibodies acquired due to infection or vaccination in the Portuguese population. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The National Serological Survey (third wave - ISN3COVID-19) is a cross-sectional nationwide epidemiological study developed on a sample of 4545 Portuguese residents aged one year or older, between the 28th September 2021 and the 19th November 2021. The SARS-CoV-2 anti-nucleoprotein and anti-spike IgG antibody levels were determined in serum samples using Abbott Chemiluminescent Microparticle Immunoassays. Seroprevalence estimates were stratified by age group, sex, administrative region and self-reported chronic conditions. Medians and respective 95% confidence intervals were used to describe the distribution of SARS-CoV-2 specific antibodies in specific population subgroups. RESULTS: The total seroprevalence rate of SARS-CoV-2 was 86.4% (95% CI: 85.2% to 87.6%). A higher seroprevalence rate was estimated for women (88.3%), 50 to 59 years-old (96.5%) and in those with two or more self-reported chronic conditions (90.8%). A higher IgG (anti-Spike) concentration was observed in individuals vaccinated with the booster dose (median = 1 2601.3 AU/mL; 95% CI: 4127.5 to 19 089.1). CONCLUSION: There was a significant increase in SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence following the mass vaccination campaign in Portugal. It is important to continue to monitor the distribution of specific SARS-COV-2 antibody at the population level to further inform public health policies.

Seroprevalence of Specific SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies during Omicron BA.5 Wave, Portugal, April-June 2022.

After the rapid spread of SARS-CoV-2 BA.5 Omicron lineage in Portugal, we developed a seroepidemiologic survey based on a sample of 3,825 residents. Results indicated that from April 27 through June 8, 2022, the estimated seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid or spike IgG was 95.8%, which indicates a high level of protection.

SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in Portugal following the third epidemic wave: results of the second National Serological Survey (ISN2COVID-19).

BACKGROUND: Integrated approaches to surveillance of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection are important for public health actions. The 2nd National Serological Survey (ISN2COVID-19) aimed to characterize the extent of SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccine-induced response in the Portuguese population following the third epidemic wave and the launch of the vaccination campaign. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was performed using data on 8463 Portuguese 1-79 years of age, collected in February and March, 2021. SARS-CoV-2 IgM and IgG (anti-nucleoprotein and anti-spike) antibodies were determined in serum samples using Abbott Architect chemiluminescent microparticle assays. Post-infection and vaccine-induced seroprevalence with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were estimated in the overall sample and stratified by population characteristics. RESULTS: The estimated seroprevalence was 15.5% (95%CI:14.6-16.5%), of which 13.5% (95%CI: 12.6-14.4%) was attributable to natural infection and 2.0% (95%CI:1.7-2.4%) to vaccination. The lowest seroprevelence was observed in persons aged 70-79 years (8.9% 95%CI:6.8-11.6), while seroprevalence in children (14.3%; 95%CI:11.5-17.6%) and adolescents (12.9%; 95%CI:10.5-15.7%) was similar to that of persons aged between 20 and 69 years. Of seropositive individuals, 22.6% (95%CI:19.7-25.9%) did not report any symptoms in 6 months prior to interview. Of persons with completed vaccination (2-doses), 98.6% (95%CI: 93.0-99.7%) had specific IgG (anti-S) antibodies. CONCLUSIONS: After the third epidemic wave, the post-infection SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence was 1.7 times higher than the cumulative incidence based on PCR-testing, but was higher (2.7 times) in children may be due to the high proportion of asymptomatic and mild infections.

Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Portugal in May-July 2020: Results of the First National Serological Survey (ISNCOVID-19).

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to estimate and describe the prevalence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) specific antibodies (immunoglobulin M and/or immunoglobulin G) in Portugal in May-July 2020. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A cross-sectional seroepidemiological survey was developed after the peak of the first epidemic wave on a sample of 2301 Portuguese residents, aged 1 year or older. Survey sample was selected using a two-stage stratified non-probability sampling design (quota sampling). SARS-CoV-2 immunoglobulin M and immunoglobulin G antibodies were measured in serum samples by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Seroprevalence estimates of immunoglobulin M and/or immunoglobulin G and 95% confidence intervals were stratified by sex, age group, health region and education. RESULTS: Overall, seroprevalence was 2.9% (95% confidence interval: 2.0% - 4.2%). Higher prevalence rates were observed in male (4.1%, 95% confidence interval: 2.6% - 6.6%) and those with secondary education (6.4%, 95% confidence interval: 3.2% - 12.5%). Differences in seroprevalence by age group and region were not statistically significant. DISCUSSION: The estimated seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 was higher than the cumulative incidence reported by the National Surveillance System but far from necessary to reach herd immunity. CONCLUSION: Our results support limited extent of infection by SARS-CoV-2 in the study population possibly due to early lockdown measures implemented in Portugal and support the need to continue monitoring of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in order to increase our knowledge about the evolution of the epidemic and to estimate the proportion of the susceptible population over time.

Introdução: Este estudo tem como objetivo estimar e descrever a prevalência dos anticorpos específicos (imunoglobulina M e/ou imunoglobulina G) contra o vírus da síndrome respiratória aguda grave do coronavírus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) em Portugal em maio-julho de 2020. Material e Métodos: Após o pico da primeira onda epidémica foi realizado um estudo seroepidemiológico transversal numa amostra de 2301 pessoas residentes em Portugal, com idade igual ou superior a um ano. A amostra foi selecionada recorrendo um desenho amostral não probabilístico bietápico estratificado por quotas. Procedeu-se à deteção de anticorpos específicos contra SARS-CoV-2 (imunoglobulina M e imunoglobulina G) em amostras de soro por ensaio de imunoabsorção enzimática. As estimativas da seroprevalência (imunoglobulina M e/ou imunoglobulina G) e os respetivos intervalos de confiança a 95% foram estratificadas por sexo, grupo etário, região de saúde e escolaridade. Resultados: A seroprevalência de anticorpos específicos imunoglobulina M e/ou imunoglobulina G foi de 2,9 % (intervalo de confiança a 95%: 2,0% ­ 4,2%), tendo sido mais elevada em homens (4,1%, intervalo de confiança a 95%: 2,6% - 6,6%) e nos indivíduos com ensino secundário (6,4%, intervalo de confiança a 95%: 3,2% - 12,5%). Não foram identificadas diferenças estatisticamente significativas na entre os grupos etários estudados, nem entre regiões. Discussão: A seroprevalência estimada foi superior à incidência cumulativa de infeção reportada pelo Sistema Nacional de Vigilância, embora longe dos valores necessários para atingir a imunidade de grupo. Conclusão: Os resultados indicam uma extensão limitada da infeção por SARS-CoV-2, na população estudada compatível com uma implementação precoce das medidas de confinamento em Portugal e suporta a necessidade de monitorização a seroprevalência de SARS-CoV-2 para conhecer a evolução da epidemia e proporção da população suscetível ao longo do tempo.